Posted in the Red Bull RB3 thread
gkaytaz wrote:Ed wrote:Julian Mayo wrote:
Ahah, stimulated by the discussion, enough to join in, huh?

You could say putting a realistic spin on things
And preparing for the season preview

Yeah you should tell us about your predictions... Nothing objective, just what you think.
It is hard given that the teams have just started testing their new cars together on the same track but here are my predictions:
The championship will be fought by 3 teams, Renault, Ferrari and McLaren. Each team has a weakness this season and so the team that can overcome that weakness before the others will win the title.
McLaren have been unreliable in the past and they have 2 new drivers to the team.
Ferrari have lost Michael Schumacher and Ross Brawn
Renault have lost Fernando Alonso
While Renault are the most stable technically there is a question mark on Fisichella and whether he is able to deliver at every race. One can't expect Kovalainen to start winning from the first race.
The Brawn/Schumacher partnership in deciding and executing race strategies will be hard to replace. I don't expect to see Massa nor Raikkonen producing stunning drives early in the season but both are quick and should win races.
The reliablity of the Mclaren has been poor for the last 5 or so years particularly at the start of the season. It would be surprising to see them reliable straight away. Having a world champion driving for them will however give them a boost and if the car is reliable he will win races.
For the drivers I see the battle between Raikkonen and Alonso. I suspect it will be very close and at this stage I would tip Alonso (but I think it is because of the good times he has set so far in testing yet Raikkonen has just driven his new car for 1 day).
Massa could win it but I don't think he is consistent enough.
For the constructors, in addition to Ferrari and McLaren, Renault will be up there as well. I suspect Renault to be the most reliable and if they keep collecting points then they may win the constructors despite having an inconsisent driver and a rookie. Ferrari would be second and McLaren third. It will be close though.
Behind them, it is even harder but I suspect Honda to finish 4th (how close to the top 3 will depend on how well Barrichello does. Button should produce some good drives). In 5th Toyota ahead of BMW Sauber. Ralf Schumacher and Jarno Trulli should be able to score more points than Nick Heidfeld and Robert Kubica. Red Bull in 7th with Super Aguri in 8th ahead of Williams, Toro Rosso and Spyker (yes in that order.
That is the shortest I could make it
Hopefully I can fine tune this in a couple of weeks
